A state of emergency was issued today by the Governor of North Carolina and Florida ahead of what could be a possible landfall in North Carolina this weekend from Hurricane Matthew. The storm currently has winds of near 140 mph and is moving north at around 7 mph. The storm is forecast to make a turn to the northwest on Wednesday and will likely bring it closer to the eastern coast than originally thought and possibly bringing it onshore in North or South Carolina. The storm is forecast to make landfall in Haiti tonight into tomorrow and also in Cuba on Tuesday afternoon. Following that the storm will move over the Bahamas Tuesday night into Wednesday. The storm is currently forecast to remain a major hurricane through Friday when it will likely only be a little over 100 miles off the Florida coast. The storm will likely continue moving up the east coast and could possibly make landfall in North or South Carolina on Saturday.
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HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND (From the National Hurricane Center)
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WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to first reach Haiti
tonight, eastern Cuba Tuesday, the southeastern Bahamas late
Tuesday, and the central Bahamas on Wednesday. Tropical storm
conditions are expected to continue spreading across Haiti this
evening, reach eastern Cuba tonight, the southeastern Bahamas early
Tuesday, and the central Bahamas Tuesday night, making outside
preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.
Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of Jamaica and
along the southern coast of the Dominican Republic within the
warning area soon.
Hurricane conditions are possible in the northwestern Bahamas on
Thursday, with tropical storm conditions possible on Wednesday.
Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch areas in
Cuba and the Turks and Caicos Islands by Tuesday night with tropical
storm conditions possible on Tuesday.
RAINFALL: Matthew is expected to produce total rainfall amounts in
the following areas:
Southern Haiti and southwestern Dominican Republic…15 to 25
inches, isolated 40 inches
Eastern Cuba and northwestern Haiti…8 to 12 inches, isolated
20 inches
Eastern Jamaica…5 to 10 inches, isolated 15 to 20 inches
The Bahamas…8 to 12 inches, isolated 15 inches
Turks and Caicos Islands…2 to 5 inches, isolated 8 inches
Northeastern Haiti and the Dominican Republic…1 to 3 inches,
isolated 5 inches
Western Jamaica…1 to 2 inches
Life-threatening flash floods and mudslides are likely from this
rainfall in southern and northwestern Haiti, the southwestern
Dominican Republic, and eastern Cuba.
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and large
and destructive waves could raise water levels by as much as the
following amounts above normal tide levels…
Southern Coast of Cuba east of Cabo Cruz…7 to 11 feet
South Coast of Haiti…7 to 10 feet
Northern Coast of Cuba east of Camaguey…4 to 6 feet
Jamaica…2 to 4 feet
Gulf of Gonave in Haiti…3 to 5 feet
Southern coast of the Dominican Republic…1 to 3 feet
The Bahamas…10 to 15 feet
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.
Large waves generated by Matthew will cause water rises to occur
well in advance of and well away from the track of the center.
SURF: Swells generated by Matthew will continue to affect portions
of the coasts of Hispaniola, Jamaica, Aruba, Colombia, eastern Cuba,
and the Caribbean coastline of Central America during the next few
days. Swells from Matthew will begin affecting portions of the
Bahamas on Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause life-
threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
